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Ad Fatigue Estimator

Input your ad metrics and estimate when creative fatigue sets in. Use an editorial checklist based on the numbers you enter.

Heuristic v1 · No calibrated confidence, audience validation or causal diagnosis. Category labels describe this formula only.

Times a unique user sees your ad

How many days the ad has been active

CTR when the ad first launched

Current CTR (most recent data)

FreshScore: 12/100

CTR has declined 28% since launch

FreshShowing WearFatiguedBurned Out

Recommendations

  • •This formula gives a low review signal. Check campaign results before deciding what to keep.
  • •Monitor CTR weekly for early signs of decline.
  • •Start preparing a creative refresh for when metrics begin to dip.
How is this calculated?

Fatigue Score = max(Frequency x Days Running x (1 - CTR Trend), CTR crash floor)

The floor keeps a severe CTR crash from being masked by a low frequency or a short flight time — a 90% CTR decline on day 1 is a real warning sign even if frequency x days alone would score it low. It is capped at 70 (the top of the "Fatigued" range), so CTR severity alone never single-handedly produces a "Burned Out" verdict — reaching that still needs frequency and days running to agree.

CTR Trend = Current CTR / Initial CTR = 0.72

This is a simplified model. Real fatigue depends on audience size, creative quality, platform, and competitive environment. Use as a directional signal.

Compare frequency, elapsed days and the CTR values you enter using an editorial formula. Its score and category are heuristic review prompts, not measured fatigue or a forecast of when an ad will stop working.

CTR changes can have several causes, including changes in audience, placement, spend or measurement. Check those factors and actual campaign results before changing budget or replacing creative.

How It Works

1

Enter frequency

Enter your average ad frequency (times a user sees the ad).

2

Add CTR data

Input the number of days the ad has been running and your initial vs. current CTR.

3

Get verdict

Get an instant fatigue score with recommendations for what to do next.

Why It Matters

Use changes in your metrics to start a review. This formula cannot establish why performance changed or prescribe a spending decision.

Provisioned workspace plans

RoastIQ scoring and the workspace features below require an account provisioned after consultation. Free and Pro are workspace allowance tiers; this table does not grant public access to scoring. Standalone tools on this page need no account.

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Go beyond the basics

Review your ad across 5 creative diagnostics

RoastIQ provides five model-based diagnostics: Beat the Skip, Get Noticed, Brand Impact, Sell Proposition and Build Brand. Eligible peer comparisons depend on the saved cohort; Meta and unsupported cohorts remain directional only.

Beat the Skip

78

Illustrative

Get Noticed

65

Illustrative

Brand Impact

72

Illustrative

Sell Proposition

58

Illustrative

Build Brand

69

Illustrative

Illustrative example · Directional only · Preview v1. These numbers are authored examples, not a saved scoring run. Model version and cohort coverage are not recorded; outcome validation and run stability are not established. They do not measure viewers or predict campaign returns.

Reviewed

Scope agreed with your team

5

KPIs scored per ad

Free

Public tools, no account required

Scoped

Eligible peer comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Ready for the full analysis?

These tools check the basics. RoastIQ scores your creative across five creative diagnostics and eligible model-scored peers, helping your team choose changes to test.

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